Best Time to Fly MDW to MSP: On-Time Stats by Hour & Airline
Chicago Midway International → Minneapolis-St Paul International
Data through July 2026 · Last updated October 18, 2026
Over the last 12 months, 77.0% of Chicago (MDW) to Minneapolis (MSP) flights arrived on time (2,368 scheduled flights). That is 0.7 points below the national average of 77.6%.
SkyWest Airlines was the most punctual of the 2 airlines on the route at 77.9%, while Southwest Airlines trailed at 76.5%.
October has been the best month (90% on time) and Thursday the weakest day of the week (75%).
1.8% of flights were cancelled, versus 1.8% nationally.
MDW to MSP on-time performance by airline
Last 12 months. Airlines with fewer than 30 completed flights are marked “limited data”.
| Airline | On time | Avg delay when late | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SkyWest Airlines | 77.9% | 83 min | 1.5% | 803 |
| Southwest Airlines | 76.5% | 55 min | 2.0% | 1,565 |
80%+ good 70–79.9% fair <70% poor
Best time of day to fly MDW to MSP
On-time arrival % by scheduled departure hour (local time), 5,128 flights over 24 months.
Show the numbers
| Departure hour | On time | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6am–7am | Limited data | 11 | |
| 7am–8am | 87.7% | 2.1% | 283 |
| 8am–9am | 91.7% | 0.8% | 390 |
| 9am–10am | 83.3% | 0.4% | 542 |
| 10am–11am | 86.2% | 0.5% | 371 |
| 11am–12pm | 83.5% | 1.2% | 326 |
| 12pm–1pm | 73.8% | 1.2% | 170 |
| 1pm–2pm | 80.4% | 0.6% | 488 |
| 2pm–3pm | 83.3% | 0.6% | 345 |
| 3pm–4pm | 70.6% | 0.7% | 309 |
| 4pm–5pm | 74.1% | 0.6% | 171 |
| 5pm–6pm | 71.4% | 1.5% | 270 |
| 6pm–7pm | 79.5% | 0.0% | 219 |
| 7pm–8pm | 76.4% | 1.0% | 595 |
| 8pm–9pm | 81.4% | 0.0% | 247 |
| 9pm–10pm | 60.4% | 4.2% | 237 |
| 10pm–11pm | 61.2% | 1.3% | 154 |
Best day of the week
24 months, by day of departure.
Best month to fly
24 months, by calendar month.
Holiday travel on MDW to MSP
On-time arrivals during holiday periods compared with all other days, last 24 months.
| Period | On time | vs other days | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thanksgiving week (Tue before to Mon after) | 76.7% | -5.5 pts | 5.3% | 95 |
| Christmas & New Year (Dec 20 - Jan 3) | 69.6% | -12.6 pts | 1.1% | 186 |
| Summer peak (Jun 15 - Aug 15) | 68.5% | -13.7 pts | 0.7% | 826 |
| All other days | 82.2% | — | 0.9% | 4,021 |
Monthly on-time trend
On-time arrival % each month, with the 12-month US average for reference.
What causes delays on this route
Share of reported delay minutes, last 12 months (BTS cause categories).