Best Time to Fly ORD to MSP: On-Time Stats by Hour & Airline
Chicago O'Hare International → Minneapolis-St Paul International
Data through July 2026 · Last updated October 18, 2026
6,344 flights were scheduled from Chicago (ORD) to Minneapolis (MSP) in the last 12 months, and 70.2% of those that flew arrived on time, 7.4 points below the US average of 77.6%.
Envoy Air was the most punctual of the 7 airlines on the route at 76.3%, while American Airlines trailed at 56.9%.
October has been the best month (81% on time) and Thursday the weakest day of the week (69%).
2.6% of flights were cancelled, versus 1.8% nationally.
ORD to MSP on-time performance by airline
Last 12 months. Airlines with fewer than 30 completed flights are marked “limited data”.
| Airline | On time | Avg delay when late | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envoy Air | 76.3% | 66 min | 2.7% | 1,062 |
| Republic Airways | 73.0% | 75 min | 6.8% | 557 |
| United Airlines | 70.0% | 69 min | 1.2% | 2,378 |
| PSA Airlines | 68.3% | 81 min | 4.7% | 43 |
| Delta Air Lines | 67.6% | 92 min | 2.5% | 1,421 |
| SkyWest Airlines | 67.6% | 96 min | 3.6% | 759 |
| American Airlines | 56.9% | 129 min | 0.9% | 111 |
| Frontier Airlines | Limited data | 13 | ||
80%+ good 70–79.9% fair <70% poor
Best time of day to fly ORD to MSP
On-time arrival % by scheduled departure hour (local time), 12,578 flights over 24 months.
Show the numbers
| Departure hour | On time | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6am–7am | 86.2% | 1.7% | 821 |
| 7am–8am | 91.3% | 0.4% | 705 |
| 8am–9am | 81.1% | 0.7% | 1,395 |
| 9am–10am | 80.5% | 0.8% | 533 |
| 10am–11am | 82.0% | 0.2% | 529 |
| 11am–12pm | 75.3% | 0.8% | 372 |
| 12pm–1pm | 71.6% | 0.6% | 1,414 |
| 1pm–2pm | 76.4% | 3.0% | 132 |
| 2pm–3pm | 76.5% | 0.5% | 810 |
| 3pm–4pm | 67.0% | 1.7% | 1,215 |
| 4pm–5pm | 66.3% | 1.9% | 803 |
| 5pm–6pm | 60.6% | 2.0% | 830 |
| 6pm–7pm | 61.1% | 2.9% | 344 |
| 7pm–8pm | 67.9% | 3.4% | 585 |
| 8pm–9pm | 61.7% | 1.9% | 1,115 |
| 9pm–10pm | 65.7% | 1.4% | 580 |
| 10pm–11pm | 64.2% | 7.4% | 363 |
| 11pm–12am | Limited data | 32 | |
Best day of the week
24 months, by day of departure.
Best month to fly
24 months, by calendar month.
Holiday travel on ORD to MSP
On-time arrivals during holiday periods compared with all other days, last 24 months.
| Period | On time | vs other days | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thanksgiving week (Tue before to Mon after) | 66.0% | -8.4 pts | 6.2% | 226 |
| Christmas & New Year (Dec 20 - Jan 3) | 64.6% | -9.9 pts | 0.7% | 436 |
| Summer peak (Jun 15 - Aug 15) | 67.2% | -7.3 pts | 2.2% | 2,217 |
| All other days | 74.5% | — | 1.4% | 9,699 |
Monthly on-time trend
On-time arrival % each month, with the 12-month US average for reference.
What causes delays on this route
Share of reported delay minutes, last 12 months (BTS cause categories).